Differentials

Confidence 42/100

Low-ownership players worth a punt, ranked by form, fixtures, and underlying output.

Upcoming

Next 3 Next 5 Next 8

5%10%15%20%

Auto 3-4-3 3-5-2 4-3-3 4-4-2 4-5-1 5-2-3 5-3-2 5-4-1

Pitch Table

Formation

5-4-1

Squad cost

£79.0m

Remaining budget

£21.0m

Captain

Nyoni

Vice: Dasilva

Starting XI

Player	Club	Pos	Price	Ownership	Score	Reason
Roefs	SUN	GKP	£5.0m	6.3%	35	Low-owned at 6.3%; favourable fixtures over the next 3; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
Dalot	MUN	DEF	£5.0m	3.5%	38	Low-owned at 3.5%; favourable fixtures over the next 3; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
Mukiele	SUN	DEF	£5.5m	8.8%	38	Low-owned at 8.8%; favourable fixtures over the next 3; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
Ballard	SUN	DEF	£5.0m	2.3%	38	Low-owned at 2.3%; favourable fixtures over the next 3; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
De Cuyper	BHA	DEF	£4.5m	2.3%	38	Low-owned at 2.3%; favourable fixtures over the next 3; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
Yoro	MUN	DEF	£5.0m	0.5%	37	Low-owned at 0.5%; favourable fixtures over the next 3; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
NyoniC	LIV	MID	£5.0m	0.1%	52	Low-owned at 0.1%; high underlying involvement (xGI); favourable fixtures over the next 3; reliable minutes
DasilvaV	BRE	MID	£5.0m	0.1%	52	Low-owned at 0.1%; high underlying involvement (xGI); favourable fixtures over the next 3; reliable minutes
Amad	MUN	MID	£6.0m	1.5%	43	Low-owned at 1.5%; favourable fixtures over the next 3; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
O.Dango	BRE	MID	£6.5m	1.7%	42	Low-owned at 1.7%; favourable fixtures over the next 3; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
Nmecha	LEE	FWD	£5.5m	0.7%	44	Low-owned at 0.7%; high underlying involvement (xGI); favourable fixtures over the next 3; reliable minutes

Bench

Player	Club	Pos	Price	Ownership	Score	Reason
Kelleher	BRE	GKP	£5.0m	5.8%	33	Low-owned at 5.8%; favourable fixtures over the next 3; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
Awoniyi	NFO	FWD	£5.5m	0.4%	43	Low-owned at 0.4%; high underlying involvement (xGI); favourable fixtures over the next 3; reliable minutes
Mukasa	MCI	MID	£4.5m	0.1%	42	Low-owned at 0.1%; favourable fixtures over the next 3; high underlying involvement (xGI); reliable minutes
Richarlison	TOT	FWD	£6.0m	1.5%	42	Low-owned at 1.5%; favourable fixtures over the next 3; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)

Projected points

Starting XI, captain doubled, for the current squad — not a forecast of who will actually start.

Next 3 / 5 / 8 gameweeks

Next 3

119.5

Next 5

190.2

Next 8

303.8

Per gameweek

40.1

GW1

39.7

GW2

39.7

GW3

36.9

GW4

33.8

GW5

36.7

GW6

36.5

GW7

40.3

GW8

A model estimate from our own projection engine (form, FPL's next-fixture estimate, and underlying minutes/involvement, adjusted for fixture difficulty) — not an official FPL figure. How this is calculated

Why each player

The inclusion reason behind every squad slot.

1
KelleherGKP
Low-owned at 5.8%; favourable fixtures over the next 3; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
2
RoefsGKP
Low-owned at 6.3%; favourable fixtures over the next 3; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
3
YoroDEF
Low-owned at 0.5%; favourable fixtures over the next 3; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
4
BallardDEF
Low-owned at 2.3%; favourable fixtures over the next 3; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
5

Other low-ownership options

Next best-form players per position still under 10% ownership that didn't make the squad.

GKP

Arrizabalaga

ARS

0.0

Form

Meslier

ARS

0.0

Form

Martinez

AVL

0.0

Form

DEF

Hincapie

ARS

0.0

Methodology

Updated 4m ago

Filters to players owned by fewer than 10% of managers, then ranks the survivors on recent form, their fixture run over the next 3 gameweek(s), underlying attacking output (xGI), and minutes reliability. A pure ownership filter, not a scoring penalty — anyone at or above the threshold is excluded outright.

Read the full methodology