Predicted price risers and fallers, ranked by our own transfer-momentum model.
Predictions are a model estimate from transfer momentum (net transfers in vs out this gameweek, weighted against ownership) — not FPL's official price-change algorithm, which uses undisclosed daily thresholds. Full methodology at Methodology.
Top predicted risers this gameweek, ranked by model confidence.
| # | Player | Club | Price | Owned | Net transfers | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ØdegaardMID Net transfers this GW: +214229 (in 269576, out 55347); relative to a 13.6% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | ARS | £6.6m | 13.6% | +214.2k | +100.0 |
| 2 | KonsaDEF Net transfers this GW: +231458 (in 284336, out 52878); relative to a 13.3% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | ARS | £4.4m | 13.3% | +231.5k | +100.0 |
| 3 | George HemmingsMID Net transfers this GW: +15092 (in 25644, out 10552); relative to a 1.2% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | AVL | £4.5m | 1.2% | +15.1k | +100.0 |
| 4 | TavernierMID Net transfers this GW: +68228 (in 89539, out 21311); relative to a 3.2% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | BOU | £6.0m | 3.2% | +68.2k | +100.0 |
| 5 | ScottMID Net transfers this GW: +180406 (in 204895, out 24489); relative to a 4.4% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | BOU | £6.0m | 4.4% | +180.4k | +100.0 |
| 6 | JaneltMID Net transfers this GW: +66094 (in 81124, out 15030); relative to a 1.6% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | BRE | £5.0m | 1.6% | +66.1k | +100.0 |
| 7 | HatoDEF Net transfers this GW: +19393 (in 26761, out 7368); relative to a 0.8% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | CHE | £4.5m | 0.8% | +19.4k | +100.0 |
| 8 | PalmerMID Net transfers this GW: +281298 (in 346441, out 65143); relative to a 22.2% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | CHE | £9.6m | 22.2% | +281.3k | +100.0 |
| 9 | MitchellDEF Net transfers this GW: +90811 (in 110477, out 19666); relative to a 5.7% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | CRY | £4.5m | 5.7% | +90.8k | +100.0 |
| 10 | YeremyMID Net transfers this GW: +10348 (in 13434, out 3086); relative to a 0.4% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | CRY | £5.5m | 0.4% | +10.3k | +100.0 |
| 11 | NketiahFWD Net transfers this GW: +10596 (in 15014, out 4418); relative to a 0.7% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | CRY | £5.5m | 0.7% | +10.6k | +100.0 |
| 12 | GrealishMID Net transfers this GW: +6083 (in 9484, out 3401); relative to a 0.4% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | EVE | £6.5m | 0.4% | +6.1k | +100.0 |
| 13 | GeorgeMID Net transfers this GW: +17530 (in 22295, out 4765); relative to a 0.4% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | EVE | £5.5m | 0.4% | +17.5k | +100.0 |
| 14 | KingMID Net transfers this GW: +31547 (in 45621, out 14074); relative to a 1.1% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | FUL | £5.5m | 1.1% | +31.5k | +100.0 |
| 15 | AjayiDEF Net transfers this GW: +147733 (in 184932, out 37199); relative to a 11.2% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | HUL | £4.1m | 11.2% | +147.7k | +100.0 |
| 16 | GilesDEF Net transfers this GW: +18408 (in 24343, out 5935); relative to a 1.3% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | HUL | £4.0m | 1.3% | +18.4k | +100.0 |
| 17 | BelloumiMID Net transfers this GW: +9114 (in 14657, out 5543); relative to a 0.9% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | HUL | £5.0m | 0.9% | +9.1k | +100.0 |
| 18 | BogleDEF Net transfers this GW: +48017 (in 57329, out 9312); relative to a 1.4% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | LEE | £4.5m | 1.4% | +48k | +100.0 |
| 19 | HallDEF Net transfers this GW: +210594 (in 259806, out 49212); relative to a 11.8% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | NEW | £5.1m | 11.8% | +210.6k | +100.0 |
| 20 | BarnesMID Net transfers this GW: +77097 (in 98626, out 21529); relative to a 1.9% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | NEW | £6.0m | 1.9% | +77.1k | +100.0 |
Top predicted fallers this gameweek, ranked by model confidence.
| # | Player | Club | Price | Owned | Net transfers | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EzeMID Net transfers this GW: -15072 (in 2632, out 17704); relative to a 1.3% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | ARS | £6.4m | 1.3% | -15.1k | -100.0 |
| 2 | MerinoMID Net transfers this GW: -5291 (in 1269, out 6560); relative to a 0.5% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | ARS | £5.9m | 0.5% | -5.3k | -100.0 |
| 3 | GyökeresFWD Net transfers this GW: -50351 (in 4196, out 54547); relative to a 4.1% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | ARS | £7.3m | 4.1% | -50.4k | -100.0 |
| 4 | G.JesusFWD Net transfers this GW: -5835 (in 0, out 5835); relative to a 0.2% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | ARS | £5.9m | 0.2% | -5.8k | -100.0 |
| 5 | WatkinsFWD Net transfers this GW: -86505 (in 0, out 86505); relative to a 3.4% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | AVL | £7.8m | 3.4% | -86.5k | -100.0 |
| 6 | CollinsDEF Net transfers this GW: -38591 (in 1169, out 39760); relative to a 1.8% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | BRE | £5.5m | 1.8% | -38.6k | -100.0 |
| 7 | HinshelwoodMID Net transfers this GW: -24391 (in 741, out 25132); relative to a 1.1% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | BHA | £6.0m | 1.1% | -24.4k | -100.0 |
| 8 | GeorginioFWD Net transfers this GW: -9445 (in 627, out 10072); relative to a 0.6% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | BHA | £5.5m | 0.6% | -9.4k | -100.0 |
| 9 | WiefferDEF Net transfers this GW: -12337 (in 50, out 12387); relative to a 0.3% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | BHA | £5.0m | 0.3% | -12.3k | -100.0 |
| 10 | SánchezGKP Net transfers this GW: -27882 (in 0, out 27882); relative to a 1.0% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | CHE | £4.9m | 1.0% | -27.9k | -100.0 |
| 11 | PalestraDEF Net transfers this GW: -17391 (in 343, out 17734); relative to a 1.1% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | CHE | £5.4m | 1.1% | -17.4k | -100.0 |
| 12 | CaicedoMID Net transfers this GW: -24955 (in 1090, out 26045); relative to a 1.7% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | CHE | £5.4m | 1.7% | -25k | -100.0 |
| 13 | Andrey SantosMID Net transfers this GW: -7208 (in 2500, out 9708); relative to a 0.7% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | MUN | £4.9m | 0.7% | -7.2k | -100.0 |
| 14 | Marc GuiuFWD Net transfers this GW: -5630 (in 0, out 5630); relative to a 0.3% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | CHE | £5.0m | 0.3% | -5.6k | -100.0 |
| 15 | KitchingDEF Net transfers this GW: -6287 (in 0, out 6287); relative to a 0.5% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | COV | £4.0m | 0.5% | -6.3k | -100.0 |
| 16 | SarrMID Net transfers this GW: -19839 (in 112, out 19951); relative to a 0.9% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | CRY | £6.3m | 0.9% | -19.8k | -100.0 |
| 17 | MatetaFWD Net transfers this GW: -41424 (in 206, out 41630); relative to a 2.0% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | CRY | £6.4m | 2.0% | -41.4k | -100.0 |
| 18 | BetoFWD Net transfers this GW: -39573 (in 0, out 39573); relative to a 1.1% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | EVE | £5.4m | 1.1% | -39.6k | -100.0 |
| 19 | O'ReillyDEF Net transfers this GW: -337787 (in 4180, out 341967); relative to a 15.1% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | MCI | £6.5m | 15.1% | -337.8k | -100.0 |
| 20 | FodenMID Net transfers this GW: -97263 (in 11150, out 108413); relative to a 4.8% ownership base; no price move yet today; Heuristic model estimate — NOT FPL's official price-change prediction (FPL's real algorithm and daily thresholds are private). | MCI | £7.0m | 4.8% | -97.3k | -100.0 |