Differentials

Confidence 41/100

Low-ownership players worth a punt, ranked by form, fixtures, and underlying output.

Upcoming

Next 3 Next 5 Next 8

5%10%15%20%

Auto 3-4-3 3-5-2 4-3-3 4-4-2 4-5-1 5-2-3 5-3-2 5-4-1

Pitch Table

Formation

4-4-2

Squad cost

£90.5m

Remaining budget

£9.5m

Captain

Nyoni

Vice: Dasilva

Starting XI

Player	Club	Pos	Price	Ownership	Score	Reason
A.Becker	LIV	GKP	£5.5m	4.6%	33	Low-owned at 4.6%; favourable fixtures over the next 5; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
De Cuyper	BHA	DEF	£4.5m	2.3%	38	Low-owned at 2.3%; favourable fixtures over the next 5; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
Gvardiol	MCI	DEF	£5.5m	6.2%	36	Low-owned at 6.2%; favourable fixtures over the next 5; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
Frimpong	LIV	DEF	£5.5m	3.0%	35	Low-owned at 3.0%; favourable fixtures over the next 5; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
Senesi	TOT	DEF	£6.0m	13.4%	35	Low-owned at 13.4%; favourable fixtures over the next 5; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
NyoniC	LIV	MID	£5.0m	0.1%	52	Low-owned at 0.1%; high underlying involvement (xGI); favourable fixtures over the next 5; reliable minutes
DasilvaV	BRE	MID	£5.0m	0.1%	49	Low-owned at 0.1%; high underlying involvement (xGI); favourable fixtures over the next 5; reliable minutes
Cherki	MCI	MID	£7.5m	10.5%	45	Low-owned at 10.5%; favourable fixtures over the next 5; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
Mbeumo	MUN	MID	£8.0m	13.5%	44	Low-owned at 13.5%; favourable fixtures over the next 5; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
Nmecha	LEE	FWD	£5.5m	0.7%	46	Low-owned at 0.7%; favourable fixtures over the next 5; high underlying involvement (xGI); reliable minutes
Awoniyi	NFO	FWD	£5.5m	0.4%	43	Low-owned at 0.4%; high underlying involvement (xGI); favourable fixtures over the next 5; reliable minutes

Bench

Player	Club	Pos	Price	Ownership	Score	Reason
Donnarumma	MCI	GKP	£5.5m	11.1%	32	Low-owned at 11.1%; favourable fixtures over the next 5; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
Mateta	CRY	FWD	£6.5m	7.8%	43	Low-owned at 7.8%; favourable fixtures over the next 5; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
Palmer	CHE	MID	£9.5m	13.4%	43	Low-owned at 13.4%; favourable fixtures over the next 5; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
Muñoz	CRY	DEF	£5.5m	13.4%	35	Low-owned at 13.4%; favourable fixtures over the next 5; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)

Projected points

Starting XI, captain doubled, for the current squad — not a forecast of who will actually start.

Next 3 / 5 / 8 gameweeks

Next 3

128.2

Next 5

211.9

Next 8

332.2

Per gameweek

42.1

GW1

41.5

GW2

44.6

GW3

41.8

GW4

41.9

GW5

37.0

GW6

41.6

GW7

41.8

GW8

A model estimate from our own projection engine (form, FPL's next-fixture estimate, and underlying minutes/involvement, adjusted for fixture difficulty) — not an official FPL figure. How this is calculated

Why each player

The inclusion reason behind every squad slot.

1
DonnarummaGKP
Low-owned at 11.1%; favourable fixtures over the next 5; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
2
A.BeckerGKP
Low-owned at 4.6%; favourable fixtures over the next 5; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
3
MuñozDEF
Low-owned at 13.4%; favourable fixtures over the next 5; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
4
FrimpongDEF
Low-owned at 3.0%; favourable fixtures over the next 5; reliable minutes; high underlying involvement (xGI)
5

Other low-ownership options

Next best-form players per position still under 15% ownership that didn't make the squad.

GKP

Arrizabalaga

ARS

0.0

Form

Meslier

ARS

0.0

Form

Martinez

AVL

0.0

Form

DEF

Calafiori

ARS

0.0

Methodology

Updated 1m ago

Filters to players owned by fewer than 15% of managers, then ranks the survivors on recent form, their fixture run over the next 5 gameweek(s), underlying attacking output (xGI), and minutes reliability. A pure ownership filter, not a scoring penalty — anyone at or above the threshold is excluded outright.

Read the full methodology